What-If Oracle — Possibility Space Explorer

What it does

Instead of a single prediction, the Oracle maps the whole possibility space around a decision.

• Sharpens the question: turns "what if AI takes over?" into "what if 40% of knowledge-work tasks in industry X are automated within 3 years?" by isolating variable, magnitude, timeframe, and context.
• Generates 4–6 branches: Ω best case, α likely case, Δ worst case, Ψ wild card, Φ contrarian, ∞ second-order effects.
• Analyzes each branch in a fixed card format: probability, confidence, narrative, key assumptions, early trigger signals, consequences at immediate / 30 days / 6 months, required response, and "what most people miss."
• Synthesizes: probability distribution bar chart, no-regret robust actions, hedges, decision tripwires, and a "1% insight."
• Modes: Quick (3 branches), Deep (all 6), Scenario Chain (recursive), Reverse (backcasting from a goal), Competitive (multi-stakeholder views).

Who it's for

• Founders and PMs facing hard-to-reverse forks
• Strategy and risk owners who need contingency plans on paper
• Team leads who want assumptions stress-tested before a decision meeting
• Researchers writing structured alternative-scenario sections

Examples

1. Supplier shock — "What if our main supplier raises prices 30% in Q3?" → the worst-case branch pinpoints when margins go negative and which leading indicators to monitor.
2. Early launch call — "What if we ship the beta six months early?" → compare the likely and contrarian branches to weigh first-mover gains against churn risk.
3. Career fork — "What if I go independent for a year?" → Quick mode with three branches defines the cash runway tripwire and a return-to-employment trigger.

Install the skill I found on Claude Skill Mart.
Copy the skills/what-if-oracle folder from the GitHub repo K-Dense-AI/scientific-agent-skills into my ~/.claude/skills/what-if-oracle/.
When it's done, tell me in one line what this skill can do.