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What-If Oracle — Possibility Space Explorer

A scenario-analysis skill that expands any "what if?" question into 4–6 branches (best, likely, worst, wild card, contrarian, second-order) with probabilities, trigger signals and response plans.

UtilitiesBeginner★ 33,030⑂ 3,248AI score 10/10Last updated: Aug 9, 2026

What it does

  • Sharpens a vague "what if?" into an analyzable question by isolating the variable, magnitude, timeframe and current context.
  • Expands it into 4–6 scenario branches: Ω best case, α likely case, Δ worst case, Ψ wild card, Φ contrarian, ∞ second-order cascade.
  • Produces a card per branch: probability, timing, key assumptions, early warning signals, consequences at immediate / 30-day / 6-month horizons, and the required response.
  • Closes with a probability distribution chart, no-regret actions that pay off across branches, hedges, and decision tripwires that should change your mind.
  • Offers modes: Quick Oracle (3 branches), Deep Oracle (all 6), Scenario Chain (recursive), Reverse Oracle (backcast from a goal), and Competitive Oracle (multi-stakeholder views).

Who it's for

  • Founders, managers and strategists facing a fork-in-the-road decision
  • Anyone building contingency plans or risk maps before a big commitment (funding, hiring, job change, contract)
  • People who need a defensible answer to "and what if it goes badly?" in a meeting

Example uses

  1. "What if our main supplier raises prices 30% in Q3?" → six branches with probabilities, early signals and response playbooks
  2. "What if I quit my job to go solo?" → quick three-branch read plus no-regret actions
  3. "What if we ship the product six months early?" → possibility space compared from our, competitor and market perspectives

· · · Install guide · · ·

Try it now, no install

Paste this into Claude to use the skill without installing anything.

Read the instructions in this file and follow them to help me:
https://raw.githubusercontent.com/K-Dense-AI/scientific-agent-skills/HEAD/skills/what-if-oracle/SKILL.md

What I want: (describe your task here)

If Claude can't open the link, open it yourself and paste the contents instead.

↓ If it works for you, download the ZIP below and install it. Then it runs on its own — no pasting each time.

Install in the Claude app (no terminal)
  1. Download the ZIP with the button below.
  2. In Claude, open Settings → Capabilities and turn on 'Code execution and file creation'. (one time)
  3. Go to Customize → Skills → + → 'Upload a skill' and upload the ZIP.
↓ Download ZIP
Install in Claude Code

Let Claude do it — paste this into Claude Code

Install the skill I found on Claude Skill Mart.
Copy the skills/what-if-oracle folder from the GitHub repo K-Dense-AI/scientific-agent-skills into my ~/.claude/skills/what-if-oracle/.
When it's done, tell me in one line what this skill can do.

Install with a command instead

git clone https://github.com/K-Dense-AI/scientific-agent-skills.git && mkdir -p ~/.claude/skills && cp -r scientific-agent-skills/skills/what-if-oracle ~/.claude/skills/

⚠ This is a third-party skill. Check the source repository before installing.

  1. Open Terminal (macOS/Linux) or Git Bash (Windows).
  2. Clone the repo: git clone https://github.com/K-Dense-AI/scientific-agent-skills.git
  3. Create the skills folder: mkdir -p ~/.claude/skills
  4. Copy just this skill: cp -r scientific-agent-skills/skills/what-if-oracle ~/.claude/skills/
  5. Confirm references/scenario-templates.md came along — it holds the domain-specific templates.
  6. Restart Claude Code and try: "Run the What-If Oracle on: what if our revenue stays flat for six months?"

Note: the skill is CC BY-NC-SA 4.0 — commercial use requires a license from the original author.

View source on GitHub ↗License: MIT