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Scenario Planning

A strategy skill that builds coherent future scenarios, stress-tests your plan against them, and attaches observable early-warning indicators.

Docs & OfficeIntermediate★ 2,032⑂ 316AI score 7/10Last updated: Sep 17, 2026

What it does

  • Separates plan assumptions into predetermined facts and genuinely uncertain, load-bearing variables.
  • Builds 3–4 internally coherent, named scenarios from the two most consequential uncertainties (quadrant method) instead of optimistic/base/pessimistic.
  • Stress-tests the plan in each scenario and sorts actions into robust moves, contingent moves, and options.
  • Defines precise, checkable early-warning indicators with an owner and review cadence.
  • Enforces "never" rules: no probability-weighting into a single forecast, no implausible scenarios, no workshop that ends without Monday actions.

Who it's for

  • Strategy, corporate planning, and product leaders facing large irreversible commitments.
  • Teams in markets exposed to regulatory, technology, or demand shocks.
  • Founders pressure-testing the assumptions in a business plan or investment memo.

Examples

  1. "Build scenarios for our factory expansion around demand and supply-chain uncertainty, and tell me what breaks first in each."
  2. "Stress-test our AI product roadmap against plausible regulatory futures and separate robust from contingent moves."
  3. "Find the load-bearing assumptions in this plan and give each an observable trigger with an owner."

· · · Install guide · · ·

Try it now, no install

Paste this into Claude to use the skill without installing anything.

Read the instructions in this file and follow them to help me:
https://raw.githubusercontent.com/cbrock84/headcount/HEAD/plugins/corporate-strategy/skills/scenario-planning/SKILL.md

What I want: (describe your task here)

If Claude can't open the link, open it yourself and paste the contents instead.

↓ If it works for you, download the ZIP below and install it. Then it runs on its own — no pasting each time.

Install in the Claude app (no terminal)
  1. Download the ZIP with the button below.
  2. In Claude, open Settings → Capabilities and turn on 'Code execution and file creation'. (one time)
  3. Go to Customize → Skills → + → 'Upload a skill' and upload the ZIP.
↓ Download ZIP
Install in Claude Code

Let Claude do it — paste this into Claude Code

Install the skill I found on Claude Skill Mart.
Copy the plugins/corporate-strategy/skills/scenario-planning folder from the GitHub repo cbrock84/headcount into my ~/.claude/skills/scenario-planning/.
When it's done, tell me in one line what this skill can do.

Install with a command instead

git clone https://github.com/cbrock84/headcount.git && mkdir -p ~/.claude/skills && cp -r headcount/plugins/corporate-strategy/skills/scenario-planning ~/.claude/skills/

⚠ This is a third-party skill. Check the source repository before installing.

  1. Open your terminal.
  2. Clone the repo: git clone https://github.com/cbrock84/headcount.git
  3. Create the skills folder: mkdir -p ~/.claude/skills
  4. Copy the skill: cp -r headcount/plugins/corporate-strategy/skills/scenario-planning ~/.claude/skills/
  5. Restart Claude Code and ask something like "Use scenario planning to stress-test this strategy."